Underreporting is hiding the true cost to local authorities
of infectious intestinal disease. Alfred Barker looks at the
surveillance and economic evaluation of ID
The strategic plan 2001 - 2006, recently published by the Food
Standards Agency (FSA), calls for a reduction in foodborne illness
of 20 per cent over the next five years.1 In order to achieve this
target, which is regarded as a tough one, the FSA has committed
to improving existing surveillance systems in order to monitor its
performance. Underreporting of infectious intestinal disease (IID)
is of particular concern, as it affects the ability of the national
surveillance system to report the true number of cases. Foodborne
illness, including underreporting, has also been shown to have considerable
economic implications on both local authority and public sector
finances.2
UNDERREPORTING
Certain bacteria, protozoa and viruses are recognised as pathogens
causing intestinal disease. These IIDs are typically associated
with one or more of the following symptoms: diarrhoea; abdominal
pain; vomiting; nausea and fever. Pathogens associated with IID
may be food or waterborne, eg salmonella or campylobacter, or acquired
by other means, eg person to person contact for pathogens such as
rotavirus or shigella.3 A recent FSA study3 supported the theory
that routine laboratory reporting of the above pathogens detects
the tip of the clinical iceberg of infection only.4 This underreporting
of cases of IID is well established, and has been referred to by
Sockett and Roberts (1991)5 and by the UK centre responsible for
collating reporting.6 It is estimated that 9.5 million cases of
IID occur annually in England (20 per cent of the population) of
which 1.5 million (3 per cent) present to their General Practitioner
(GP).3 The above cases may be either sporadic, or part of a general
outbreak. A general outbreak is defined as: "affecting members of
more than one private residence or residents of an institution".
General outbreaks are distinct from family outbreaks affecting members
of the same private residence only.7 Specimens tested as part of
investigations into general outbreaks of IID account for only a
small proportion of total laboratory reports. Reports unaccounted
for by general outbreaks may be genuine sporadic cases, may arise
from family outbreaks, or from unrecognised or unreported general
outbreaks.
SURVEILLANCE OF IID
Nationally, there are three principal routine sources of data on
foodborne disease and IID in use in England and Wales:6 - statutory
notifications from clinicians of cases of food poisoning; - voluntary
reports from diagnostic laboratories of laboratory confirmed infections;
and - standard report forms on general outbreaks of IID submitted
by consultants in communicable disease control (CsCDC) on general
outbreaks of IID. Data from the first are produced by the Office
of National Statistics (ONS) and the other two by the Public Health
Laboratory Service (PHLS) and the Communicable Disease Surveillance
Centre (CDSC). All doctors in clinical practice have a statutory
duty to notify the proper officer of the local authority of cases,
or suspected cases, of certain infectious diseases and of food poisoning.
When a registered GP suspects that an individual is suffering from
IID, they must formally notify the proper officer - usually the
CsCDC. The CsCDC is responsible for the surveillance of IID within
the population of the District Health Authority (DHA). That person
also co-ordinates epidemiological investigations of cases and outbreaks
of IID and offers medical advice to the local authority environmental
health department. Upon receipt of a formal notification from a
GP, the CsCDC informs the environmental health department which
is responsible for the detailed epidemiological investigation. This
is known as a "passive" or self-reporting surveillance system. It
is significant in the underreporting of disease, since it relies
upon the voluntary reporting of foodborne illness by physicians
and other health authorities.8 Wheeler et al (1999) found that only
one in 30 patients with symptoms of IID visited their GP each year.4
Where a patient does not present to their GP, the case will not
be confirmed or included in national statistics. Warden (1998) notes
that there are also discrepancies in the number of people visiting
their GP because of symptoms of FBD and the number of formal notifications.9
Notification is not contingent on laboratory confirmation of infection
and delaying notification until laboratory confirmation is available
defeats the purpose of a rapid notification system, designed to
enable effective and timely intervention at local level.10 In addition
to those cases of food poisoning formally notified by clinicians,
the local authority ascertains cases by use of environmental health
officers, who are responsible for investigating incidents of IID
and gathering epidemiological data, eg patient food histories, and
establishing causal factors in the food processing system. EHOs
are also responsible for the enforcement of food safety legislation.
They are therefore able to instigate remedial actions which will
prevent a recurrence of the incident. The factors in food production,
which contributed to the IID incident need to be established. To
achieve this, the EHO should inspect the suspect food process and
may also collect food samples which are a possible source of the
pathogen. The Advisory Committee on the Microbiological Safety of
Foods (ASMSF) (1990) suggested that proving that a suspect food
is responsible for a case of foodborne illness is a balance of probabilities.11
ECONOMIC EVALUATION OF IID
Estimates of national costs of salmonellosis requested by the Richmond
Committee, were submitted based on certain studies.5,12 It was estimated
that the costs of salmonella in England and Wales in 1992, were
between £350m and £502m. The FSA study estimated that IID in England
costs at least three-quarters of a billion pounds a year.3 Economic
evaluation is a technique that enables efficient choices to be made
about the use of resources. Although there is a long history of
economic evaluations in the field of public health13 evaluations
of intestinal infection are comparatively recent, stimulated by
the increase in reported infections, particularly of salmonella
in the late 1980s.14 The major types of economic evaluation are
cost benefit analysis, cost effectiveness analysis, cost utility
analysis and cost of illness studies, sometimes referred to as studies
of the socio-economic burden of disease. Costs of illness studies
are the earliest forms of economic evaluation and these are widely
used in studies of intestinal infection.5,15,16,17,18,19,20 All
costs or burdens of illness are estimated and benefits are expressed
as avoided costs that would arise from an intervention to prevent
or contain the disease. Studies of outbreaks include a study of
milkborne salmonella in Scotland in 1981, estimated to have cost
£11.3m.21 Costs of an outbreak in 1982 of S. napoli were estimated
as £504,808, the intervention having saved some £1,673,826.17 As
surveys are rare, estimates of national costs are usually based
on projections of numbers from epidemiological sources and costs
from outbreaks or from informed opinions about clinical severity.
As a basis of estimating the socio-economic costs of disease, each
estimation procedure has advantages and limitations and needs to
be interpreted with caution. It is estimated that sporadic cases
represent two-thirds of all reported infections of salmonellosis
in England and Wales; projections from outbreaks might not represent
sporadic cases adequately, but it is easier to estimate opportunity
costs, the forgone benefits that arise because of the infection,
the impact on industry and local health and community services from
outbreak studies. The cost of IID is borne by local authorities
and the public sector. Costing will vary for different organisms,
due to the severity of illness, duration, whether or not hospitalised,
days off work and the impact of morbidity on normal activities within
the home or on education. Thus, underreporting of IID will have
a significant effect on the overall economic evaluation of IID.3
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14 Agricultural Committee 1989. Salmonella in eggs: first report
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17 Roberts JA, Sockett P N and Gill N (1989)."Economic impact of
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British Medical Journal 296(6682): 1227-1230.
18 Roberts T (1988). "Salmonellosis control: Estimated economic
costs". Poultry Science 67(6): 936-43.
19 Roberts T (1989). "Human illness costs of foodborne bacteria".
American Journal of Agricultural Economics 71(2): 468-74.
20 Roberts T, and Marks S (1995). "Valuation by the cost of illness
method: the social costs of Escherichia coli O157: H7 - foodborne
disease". In Caswell Jad. (Ed.) Valuing food safety and nutrition.
Boulder, Colorado: Westview Press. Pp 173-205.
21 Cohen DR, Porter IA, Reid TM, Sharp JC, Forbes GI, Paterson GM
(1983). "A cost benefit study of milk-borne salmonellosis". Journal
of Hygiene (Lond) 91(1): 17-23. Alfred V Barker BA, MSc, MCIEH,
Senior Environmental Health Officer, St Helens MBC Tel: 01744 456364
e-mail: alfredbarker@sthelens.gov.uk
Acknowledgements The author would like to thank the following for
their help, Dr. Susan Powell, University of Central Lancashire,
for her continuing support, the staff of the Environmental Health
Section, St. Helens MBC and Lorraine Barker for her secretarial
support.